Reports > Energy
Current Status and Implications of Japanese General Trading Companies' SAF Business
2025.10.29 Hang Cho
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1. SAF Market Overview
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2. SAF Business of Japanese General Trading Companies
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3. Conclusion and Implications
Executive Summary
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o Demand is surging globally as countries implement SAF mandates to achieve carbon neutrality goals.
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The EU has announced mandatory SAF usage of 2% by 2025 and 70% by 2050. The UK and Japan have set a 10% mandate by 2030. While the U.S. does not have a mandate, it offers tax credits of U$1.25 to U$1.75 per gallon.
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o Japanese general trading companies are entering the SAF market through partnerships with major players.
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[Itochu Corporation] Pre-empting the market by distributing products from Neste, the world’s largest producer.
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In 2022, it signed an exclusive supply agreement with the Finnish firm and currently supplies domestic and international airlines.
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[Mitsui & Co.] Manufacturing SAF internally through a partnership with U.S.-based LanzaTech.
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It invested in the startup’s alcohol-to-jet (ATJ) technology in 2014, established the joint venture LanzaJet in 2020, and completed its first commercial plant in the U.S. in 2024.
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[Mitsubishi Corporation] Producing SAF domestically in collaboration with the Japanese refiner ENEOS
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Production is planned at ENEOS’s Wakayama refinery, with FEED (Front-End Engineering Design) having commenced in February 2025.
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[Sumitomo Corporation / Marubeni] As latecomers, they are seeking opportunities to enter the market by pursuing joint research and demonstration projects with key startups.
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Their efforts include graphite mine development, rare earth recycling, EV charger businesses, and power supply-demand adjustment in Japan and the UK.
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o With the inevitable downsizing of their traditional strengths in coal and oil, Japanese trading houses are actively promoting the SAF business as a new growth engine in the energy sector.
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Strategies vary as Itochu focuses on a sales-first strategy via its Neste alliance, while Mitsui and Mitsubishi prioritize in-house SAF manufacturing.
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o Since stable feedstock supply and efficiency in supply chain are critical for SAF, general trading companies—with their strengths in feedstock procurement and integrated supply chain management—hold a competitive advantage.
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Based on their broad industrial coverage and sourcing experience, these firms possess the capability to manage and optimize the entire supply chain, making them well-suited for the SAF business.
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o As the currently commercialized HEFA method faces limitations in supply and demand of feedstock, there is a need for sensing next-generation SAF technologies and the ability to screen promising startups.
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o With active efforts to develop and commercialize various next-generation technologies such as FT, ATJ, and PtL (e-fuel), numerous startups are emerging. Pre-empting the market requires selective investment in technologies and companies with high commercial viability.
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